Goodbye Oil Changes: What 40–80% EV Adoption Will Look Like - CleanTechnica

The article from CleanTechnica discusses the impending transformation in vehicle fueling and maintenance as electric vehicle (EV) adoption accelerates from 40% to around 80%, signaling a rapid decline in internal combustion engine (ICE) infrastructure. Historically, fueling and maintaining gasoline cars has been convenient and affordable, but as EVs become mainstream, the infrastructure supporting ICE vehicles—such as gas stations and repair services—will collapse swiftly. This transition is already observable in leading markets like Norway and China, where EV sales dominate and gasoline stations are closing rapidly, leaving only a few along major highways or in remote areas. The author frames this shift using diffusion of innovations and logistic growth theories, emphasizing that surpassing the 40% EV adoption threshold marks a critical tipping point. Beyond this, the economic and infrastructural support for gasoline vehicles deteriorates much faster than commonly expected. However, the pace and shape of EV adoption vary widely by region due to factors like regulatory policies, infrastructure readiness, consumer attitudes, and economic incentives